Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.562237 0.641112 0.725967 0.823905 0.933689 1.052814 1.191720
2025-05-25 0.448252 0.557543 0.684388 0.841912 1.031671 1.252242 1.527359
2025-06-01 0.364790 0.492006 0.650381 0.860628 1.130821 1.464626 1.906260
2025-06-08 0.294158 0.428504 0.607190 0.859603 1.203851 1.653339 2.280345
2025-06-15 0.248467 0.388785 0.587140 0.883645 1.310241 1.895360 2.750515
2025-06-22 0.204055 0.342193 0.549240 0.875836 1.369949 2.079432 3.161902
2025-06-29 0.174155 0.311531 0.528899 0.889078 1.459404 2.312695 3.665398
2025-07-06 0.143704 0.274025 0.491503 0.869551 1.495044 2.468370 4.068426
2025-07-13 0.128149 0.258753 0.487268 0.901631 1.614010 2.760920 4.706186
2025-07-20 0.115390 0.246009 0.484996 0.935821 1.738997 3.073327 5.402256
2025-07-27 0.101566 0.228573 0.471446 0.947713 1.826149 3.330479 6.029452
2025-08-03 0.088783 0.210723 0.454195 0.949930 1.895306 3.561955 6.631534
2025-08-10 0.077273 0.193574 0.436113 0.948873 1.959670 3.793427 7.258772
2025-08-17 0.067908 0.179298 0.421591 0.952682 2.033249 4.047556 7.947604
2025-08-24 0.060378 0.167738 0.410924 0.962685 2.119494 4.331869 8.714098
2025-08-31 0.052546 0.153808 0.392850 0.954493 2.168082 4.549266 9.374037
2025-09-07 0.047783 0.146654 0.388919 0.976239 2.279868 4.896429 10.305231
2025-09-14 0.041635 0.134482 0.371246 0.964669 2.319793 5.105406 10.985573
2025-09-21 0.037593 0.127267 0.364436 0.977132 2.412619 5.427387 11.911715
2025-09-28 0.032392 0.115472 0.344137 0.954586 2.424946 5.584892 12.519152
2025-10-05 0.030297 0.112657 0.346796 0.988640 2.569347 6.029505 13.744723
2025-10-12 0.028470 0.110294 0.350306 1.025232 2.723127 6.505568 15.068303
2025-10-19 0.025929 0.104992 0.344810 1.037770 2.820800 6.867197 16.175027